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The Dawn of Fear: Assessing the Surge in Attacks on Muslim Worship Sites.

Publication cover
Category:  Security Insights
Date:  November 12, 2025
Author:  Adam Abass
Snapshot
1

In the predawn hours across Northern Nigeria, a new wave of terror targeting Muslims worshippers is gradually taking shape.

2

While international attention often frames Nigeria’s insecurity as ‘Christian persecution,’ recent attacks show that Muslims too have become primary victims.

3

These pre-dawn assaults on Fajr worshippers are not just acts of violence — they strike at the very heart of Nigeria’s moral and social fabric.

In the quiet predawn hours across Northern Nigeria, when faithful Muslims gather for Fajr, the first prayer of the day, a new wave of terror has emerged. In recent months, armed bandits have increasingly targeted Muslim worshippers during Fajr prayers, attacking mosques and abducting congregants across states like Katsina, Zamfara, and Kwara. What was once a pattern of rural raids and highway kidnappings is gradually taking on a new and disturbing phase, one that strikes at the core of community and faith.

In August, gunmen stormed a mosque in Malumfashi Local Government of Katsina State during Fajr prayers, killing over 30 worshippers and abducting more than 60 others. Barely a month later, 43 more were kidnapped in Tsafe, Zamfara, and another three were seized in Maru. The violence has since spilled beyond the northwest, in Patigi local government, Kwara State, a gunman shot and killed a worshipper during morning prayers. The recurrence of these incidents reveals not random criminality but a coordinated pattern, an emerging battlefield where faith and fear now collide at dawn. 

The timing of these attacks is not coincidental. Fajr, which occurs just before sunrise, presents the attackers with multiple tactical advantages, visibility is low, vigilance is minimal, and congregants are densely gathered in confined spaces. For the armed groups, this timing allows them to strike quickly, inflict maximum casualties, and withdraw before security forces can respond. These early-morning raids are not only a show of force but a calculated attempt to project operational reach into the heart of community life, undermining both faith and state authority.  

Beyond the tactical logic lies a deeper economic motive. Mass abductions during worship provide lucrative ransom opportunities, offering armed groups a steady stream of income that sustains their operations and finances the procurement of weapons. in a similar vein, worshippers become bargaining chips, used to extract concessions or deter aerial and ground offensives by the Nigerian military.  

This trend, however, is situated within the wider national and regional discourse on religious violence in Nigeria. While narratives of “Christian persecution” have dominated international attention, these attacks demonstrate that Muslims too have become primary victims of Nigeria’s insecurity. Argon Open-Source Monitoring data indicates that over 70% of killings and abductions recorded in northern Nigeria in recent months have targeted Muslim communities. The targeted violence against Fajr worshippers underscores the need to challenge simplified religious narratives and refocus attention on the broader security failure that imperils all faiths.  

For Nigeria’s intelligence community, particularly the Department of State Services (DSS), these incidents should trigger an urgent recalibration of surveillance and protection priorities. Intelligence fusion cells integrating DSS, the police, local vigilantes, and community informants should be tasked with mapping high-risk religious sites and monitoring threat signals in real time. Rapid response patrols positioned near known vulnerable areas could deter potential strikes. Meanwhile, technology-driven early-warning systems, integrating community reporting and predictive analysis, should be scaled up to identify patterns of mosque-targeted violence before attacks occur.  

Equally, the country’s Islamic leadership must move beyond condemnation to proactive engagement. Institutions such as the Sultanate Council, and the Supreme Council for Islamic Affairs, must amplify awareness of the growing threats against Muslim worshippers. They should coordinate with state authorities to develop protective measures for congregations and publicly challenge divisive rhetoric that portrays Nigeria’s crisis through a one-sided religious lens. Faith leaders can also play a critical role in community resilience, mobilizing local networks to monitor suspicious activity, promote interfaith solidarity, and restore confidence in collective worship.  

The pre-dawn assaults on Fajr worshippers are not merely attacks on individuals, they represent an assault on Nigeria’s moral and social fabric. They expose both the fragility of state authority and the manipulation of religious vulnerability by armed actors seeking leverage. Unless Nigeria’s security and religious institutions act in concert, blending intelligence precision, community vigilance, and narrative correction, the dawn may remain not a time for prayer and peace, but a window of terror for millions of believers.  

Insight by:
Adam Abass
Adam Abass
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